60.00% - March Madness has magic, but the Final Four is still dominated by top seeds — only seven teams seeded fifth or lower have made the championship game in the modern era.
40.00% - Single elimination is variance-maximizing by design — the best team can lose in the first round, and that's the feature, not the flaw.
Cinderella teams rarely win the NCAA tournament outright, even when they reach the Elite Eight.
100.00% - Cinderella teams rarely win the NCAA tournament outright, even when they reach the Elite Eight.
0.00% - A low seed doesn’t have much of a chance to win the whole NCAA tournament.
50.00% - NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament upsets