60.00% - Any Division I program can win the NCAA tournament — the structure gives Butler the same bracket format as Duke, and mid-majors prove it regularly.
40.00% - Single elimination is variance-maximizing by design — the best team can lose in the first round, and that's the feature, not the flaw.
Early upsets of high seeds in the NCAA tournament are structurally inevitable, not exceptional.
30.00% - Single elimination is variance-maximizing by design — the best team can lose in the first round, and that's the feature, not the flaw.
30.00% - Villanova's 1985 run as an 8 seed remains the lowest seed to win the NCAA tournament — a genuine outlier that proves the format can produce miracles, even if that miracle has happened only once in 40 years.
20.00% - Sixty-eight teams, single elimination, three weeks — no other format produces upsets and bracket chaos at March Madness scale.
20.00% - March Madness has magic, but the Final Four is still dominated by top seeds — only seven teams seeded fifth or lower have made the championship game in the modern era.
100.00% - Early upsets of high seeds in the NCAA tournament are structurally inevitable, not exceptional.
0.00% - It is common for a high seed in the Big Dance to be knocked out unexpectedly early.
50.00% - List of Latin phrases (full)